Research note: Nowcasting tourist arrivals in Barbados - just Google it!

被引：25
|
作者：
Jackman, Mahalia [1 ]
Naitram, Simon [2 ]
机构：
[1] Antilles Econ, 3 Bulkeley Close, St George, Barbados
[2] Cent Bank Barbados, St Michael, Barbados
来源：
TOURISM ECONOMICS | 2015年 / 21卷 / 06期
关键词：
nowcasting; tourism demand; Google; tourism forecasting; Barbados;
D O I：
10.5367/te.2014.0402
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
This paper uses support vector regressions (SVRs) and Google search data to test whether observing Internet habits can provide insights into trends in tourist arrivals in Barbados. The empirical evidence suggests that Google Trends data may be used to pick up changing patterns and trends in tourist arrivals from the UK and Canada. In the case of the USA, the authors find no evidence to suggest that Google data add any significant information to what can be 'learned' from an autoregressive SVR.
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页码：1309 / 1313
页数：5
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