Only conservatives are voting in the rain: Evidence from German local and state elections

被引：28
|
作者：
Arnold, Felix [1 ,2 ]
Freier, Ronny [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] DIW Berlin, Mohrenstr 58, D-10117 Berlin, Germany
[2] FU Berlin, Garystr 21, D-14195 Berlin, Germany
来源：
ELECTORAL STUDIES | 2016年 / 41卷
关键词：
Turnout; Partisan effects; Rain; Germany; Municipalities; Elections; VOTER TURNOUT; WEATHER; REPUBLICANS;
D O I：
10.1016/j.electstud.2015.11.005
中图分类号：
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号：
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要：
In this note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and 2010 to show that the Conservatives profit from lower voter turnout at the expense of the Social Democrats. We deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular contribution is the comparison of municipal and state elections. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：216 / 221
页数：6
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