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Tests for stationarity in series with endogenously determined structural change
被引:14
|作者:
Harvey, DI
Mills, TC
机构:
[1] Univ Nottingham, Sch Econ, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[2] Univ Loughborough, Dept Econ, Loughborough, Leics, England
关键词:
D O I:
10.1111/j.1468-0084.2004.105_1.x
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
We consider tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity against a unit root alternative, when the series is subject to structural change at an unknown point in time. Three extant tests are reviewed which allow for an endogenously determined instantaneous structural break, and a related fourth procedure is introduced. We further propose tests which permit the structural change to be gradual rather than instantaneous, allowing the null hypothesis to be stationarity about a smooth transition in linear trend. The size and power properties of the tests are investigated, and the tests are applied to four economic time series.
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页码:863 / 894
页数:32
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