The demographic component of urban housing needs in Latin America: The case of Buenos Aires

This article aims to bring to the forefront the demographic component of housing needs - or demographic housing demand - and its interactions with the quality of housing stock and the dynamics of the real estate market in Latin American urban contexts. A methodological proposal is made and applied to the Metropolitan Region of Buenos Aires, a case rich in complexity and internal heterogeneity. Household projections are carried out using the headship rate method and linked to housing needs at the municipal level using spatial analysis techniques. As a result, three planning scenarios are proposed on the basis of the quality of housing stock and the demographic determination for housing rotation (according to the estimated flows of household creation and dissolution), which are analyzed in relation to the real estate market dynamics in each context.