The Forecasting SO2 Emission Based on the Grey Model in China

被引：0
|
作者：
Liao Xian-ling [1 ]
Chen Ning [1 ]
机构：
[1] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Qingdao, Peoples R China
来源：
2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT TECHNOLOGY, VOL 3, PROCEEDINGS | 2009年
关键词：
Grey Model; Forecasting; SO2; Emission;
D O I：
10.1109/ICEET.2009.497
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
Based on the theory of grey system and the data Of SO2 emission from 2002 to 2008 in China, we build a grey model GM (1, 1) for forecasting SO2 emission in China from 2009 to 2020 and test its precision. The results indicate that the forecasting model is accurate and precise, and SO2 emission could increase in the future in China. So it is difficult to realize the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" goal Of SO2 emission reduction. In order to reduce the environmental pollution of SO2 emission, relative countermeasures for controlling and decreasing SO2 emission are proposed.
引用
收藏
页码：127 / 130
页数：4
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