Road transportation and economic growth in China: Granger causality analysis based on provincial panel data

被引：11

作者：

Zhu, Feng ^{[1
]}

Wu, Xu ^{[1
]}

Peng, Wei ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China

[2] Beijing Urban Construct Design & Dev Grp Co Ltd, Dept Urban Planning, Wuhan Branch, Wuhan, Peoples R China

来源：

TRANSPORTATION LETTERS-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH | 2022年 / 14卷 / 07期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Road transportation; economic growth; panel data; cross-sectional dependence; coefficient homogeneity; Granger causality; China; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION; EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS; INFRASTRUCTURE; INVESTMENT; COINTEGRATION; EXPENDITURE; INTEGRATION; LOGISTICS; INFERENCE;

D O I：

10.1080/19427867.2021.1930853

中图分类号：

U [交通运输];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0823 ;

摘要：

This study examines the causal relationship between road transportation and economic growth in 31 provinces and municipalities in China by using province-level panel data covering the period from 1980 to 2015. This study adopts the Granger causality analysis based on meta-analysis in heterogeneous mixed panels. The empirical model also considers the heterogeneity of the coefficients and the cross-sectional correlations of the panel data. The empirical results confirm that the bi-directional causal relation between road transportation and economic development is the dominant type in various provinces and municipalities in China. Moreover, the results reveal a unidirectional causality running from road transportation to economic growth in Beijing, Shanghai, Heilongjiang; a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to road transportation in Tianjin, Fujian and Hunan; and no causal relation in Tibet. The results imply that road transportation and economic growth in most parts of China are mutually coordinated.

引用

页码：710 / 720

页数：11

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