How does terrorism affect the international trade of Muslims countries?

被引:2
|
作者
Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz [1 ]
Park, Donghyun [2 ]
Tahir, Muhammad [3 ]
Khan, Alam [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Malaya, FEA, CPDS, SSRC, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia
[2] ADB, 6 ADB Ave, Mandaluyong City 1550, Metro Manila, Philippines
[3] Comsats Inst Informat Technol, Dept Management Sci, Abbottabad, Pakistan
[4] KUST, Dept Econ, Kohat, Kpk, Pakistan
关键词
Terrorism; Policy modeling; Afghanistan; Iraq; Pakistan; Syria; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; DIVERSION; CREATION;
D O I
10.1007/s11135-017-0660-y
中图分类号
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
In this paper, we propose a new model, namely the terrorism-trade and investment diversion simulator (TTID-Simulator). The simulator allows us to analyze the impact of terrorism on trade and investment diversion anywhere and anytime. Our central objective is to use the new model to evaluate the trade and investment diversion due to terrorism, and the ultimate effect on inflation rate, unemployment rate, and poverty rate. More specifically, we apply TTID-simulator to evaluate the economic effect of terrorism on Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and Syria, four countries which suffered a lot of terrorist activity in recent years. The focus of our analysis is trade and investment diversion, and our sample period runs from 1980 to 2016.
引用
收藏
页码:2255 / 2268
页数:14
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