Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-2052: impact of international migration on population ageing

被引：0
|
作者：
Bijak, Jakub [1 ]
Kupiszewska, Dorota [1 ]
Kupiszewski, Marek [1 ]
Saczuk, Katarzyna [1 ]
Kicinger, Anna [1 ]
机构：
[1] Cent European Forum Migrat Res, PL-00818 Warsaw, Poland
来源：
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE | 2007年 / 23卷 / 01期
关键词：
population projections; labour force projections; international migration; population ageing; Europe;
D O I：
10.1007/s10680-006-9110-6
中图分类号：
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号：
摘要：
Population and labour force projections are made for 27 selected European countries for 2002-2052, focussing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, three sets of assumptions are explored regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing.
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页码：1 / 31
页数：31
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