Hume on miracles: Bayesian interpretation, multiple testimony, and the existence of God

被引:15
|
作者
Holder, RD
机构
[1] The Vicarage, Great Wolford
[2] Wycliffe Hall, Oxford
来源
关键词
D O I
10.1093/bjps/49.1.49
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
Hume's argument concerning miracles is interpreted by making approximations to terms in Bayes's theorem. This formulation is then used to analyse the impact of multiple testimony. Individual testimonies which are 'non-miraculous' in Hume's sense can in principle be accumulated to yield a high probability both for the occurrence of a single miracle and for the occurrence of at least one of a set of miracles. Conditions are given under which testimony for miracles may provide support for the existence of God.
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页码:49 / 65
页数:17
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