An evidential reasoning approach for the earned value management

被引:5
|
作者
Forouzanpour, H. [1 ]
Mirzazadeh, A. [1 ]
Nodoust, S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Kharazmi Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Mofatteh Ave, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Evidential reasoning; Earned value management; Earned schedule; Project progress; Interval; Uncertainty modeling; MULTIATTRIBUTE DECISION-ANALYSIS; SCHEDULE; COST;
D O I
10.24200/sci.2016.3855
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Earned Value Management (EVM) is a project management technique used to measure project progress by integrating efficient management of the most important three elements in a project i.e. cost, schedule, and scope. This paper presents an Evidential Reasoning (ER) based model for estimating the Earned Value (EV) of the projects activities with uncertainties in progress data. Since the subjective nature of EV measurement can incorporate errors and uncertainties which cause biased judgments, and as the uncertainty is inherent in real-life activities, the developed ER based model is very useful to evaluate the EV of a project wherein uncertainty arises. A case study is provided to illustrate how the new model will be used and can be implemented in reality. (C) 2016 Sharif University of Technology. All rights reserved.
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页码:685 / 700
页数:16
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