In this article, we propose new tests for threshold cointegration using an autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) model. The indicators in the threshold model can adopt either a nonstationary or stationary threshold variable. The cointegrating vector is not prespecified in this article. We adopt a supremum Wald type test to account for the so-called Davies (1987, Biometrika 74,33) problem. The asymptotic null distributions of the proposed tests are free of nuisance parameters. As such, a bootstrap procedure is not required and the critical values of the proposed tests are tabulated. Monte Carlo experiments show good finite-sample performance.
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Univ Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Informat Syst, Edinburg, TX 78539 USAUniv Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Informat Syst, Edinburg, TX 78539 USA
Oh, Dong-Yop
Lee, Hyejin
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Univ Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Informat Syst, Edinburg, TX 78539 USAUniv Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Informat Syst, Edinburg, TX 78539 USA
Lee, Hyejin
Meng, Ming
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Fifth Third Bank, Model Risk Management Dept, 38 Fountain Sq Plaza, Cincinnati, OH 45263 USAUniv Texas Rio Grande Valley, Dept Informat Syst, Edinburg, TX 78539 USA
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Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Res Int Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA
Univ Wisconsin, Dept Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USAUniv Wisconsin, Ctr Res Int Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA
Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen
Chang, Tsangyao
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Feng Chia Univ, Dept Finance, Taichung, TaiwanUniv Wisconsin, Ctr Res Int Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA
Chang, Tsangyao
Yang, Ming-Hsien
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Feng Chia Univ, Dept Int Trade, Taichung, TaiwanUniv Wisconsin, Ctr Res Int Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA
Yang, Ming-Hsien
Yang, Hong-Lue
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Wuhan Univ, Dept Finance, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaUniv Wisconsin, Ctr Res Int Econ, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA