Mathematical model of a dynamic transmission of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in the World

被引:1
|
作者
Myilsamy, Kalaiselvi [1 ]
Kumar, Muthukrishnan Senthil [1 ]
Kumar, Athira Satheesh [2 ]
机构
[1] PSG Coll Technol, Dept Appl Math & Computat Sci, Coimbatore 641004, Tamil Nadu, India
[2] Indian Inst Technol, Dept Elect Engn, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India
关键词
COVID-19; Basic reproduction number; Jacobian matrix; Stability analysis; Optimal control; SPREADING MODEL; WUHAN;
D O I
10.1080/09720510.2021.1995195
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The ongoing outbreak of COVID-19 disease has a significant impact on the world population due to its nature of permeating. In this scenario, assorted studies are being made to control the epidemic. We have proposed a compartmental model for the disease and aimed to find the basic reproduction number which can indicate the potential of the disease transmission. We have analyzed the stability and dynamics of the proposed model and also the optimal control for the same. Here the quarantine is given for exposed individuals and treatment is for infected to control the impact of corona virus. The simulation results of control over virus shows that the infected rate will slightly decreases after 45 days, if the people follow social distancing. To support our findings we had compared the simulation results of our model with real-time data reported by the World Health Organization.
引用
收藏
页码:1849 / 1869
页数:21
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19): A Global Pandemic
    Al-Dadah, Oday
    Hing, Caroline
    KNEE, 2020, 27 (02): : 279 - 279
  • [2] A mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission
    Jayatilaka, R.
    Patel, R.
    Brar, M.
    Tang, Y.
    Jisrawi, N. M.
    Chishtie, F.
    Drozd, J.
    Valluri, S. R.
    INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES & EXHIBITION ON NANOTECHNOLOGIES, ORGANIC ELECTRONICS & NANOMEDICINE, NANOTEXNOLOGY 2020, PT 1, 2021, 54 : 101 - 112
  • [3] A mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission
    Jayatilaka, R.
    Patel, R.
    Brar, M.
    Tang, Y.
    Jisrawi, N. M.
    Chishtie, F.
    Drozd, J.
    Valluri, S. R.
    MATERIALS TODAY-PROCEEDINGS, 2022, 54 : 101 - 112
  • [4] Mathematical modeling for novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and control
    Alqarni, Marei Saeed
    Alghamdi, Metib
    Muhammad, Taseer
    Alshomrani, Ali Saleh
    Khan, Muhammad Altaf
    NUMERICAL METHODS FOR PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS, 2022, 38 (04) : 760 - 776
  • [5] Novel fractional order SIDARTHE mathematical model of COVID-19 pandemic
    Higazy, M.
    CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 138
  • [6] 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic: Built Environment Considerations To Reduce Transmission
    Dietz, Leslie
    Horve, Patrick F.
    Coil, David A.
    Fretz, Mark
    Eisen, Jonathan A.
    Van Den Wymelenberg, Kevin
    MSYSTEMS, 2020, 5 (02)
  • [7] Impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on sleep
    Perez-Carbonell, Laura
    Meurling, Imran Johan
    Wassermann, Danielle
    Gnoni, Valentina
    Leschziner, Guy
    Weighall, Anna
    Ellis, Jason
    Durrant, Simon
    Hare, Alanna
    Steier, Joerg
    JOURNAL OF THORACIC DISEASE, 2020, 12 : S163 - +
  • [8] Anticipating the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Pandemic
    Kaur, Taranjot
    Sarkar, Sukanta
    Chowdhury, Sourangsu
    Sinha, Sudipta Kumar
    Jolly, Mohit Kumar
    Dutta, Partha Sharathi
    FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH, 2020, 8
  • [9] Impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on sleep
    Perez-Carbonell, Laura
    Meurling, Imran Johan
    Wassermann, Danielle
    Gnoni, Valentina
    Leschziner, Guy
    Weighall, Anna
    Ellis, Jason
    Durrant, Simon
    Hare, Alanna
    Steier, Joerg
    EUROPEAN RESPIRATORY JOURNAL, 2021, 58
  • [10] EPIDEMIC SEIQRV MATHEMATICAL MODEL AND STABILITY ANALYSIS OF COVID-19 TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF CORONAVIRUS
    Bavithra, S. A. R.
    Padmasekaran, S.
    JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS & INFORMATICS, 2023, 41 (06): : 1393 - 1407