The prognostic value of p53 for long-term and recurrence-free survival following radical prostatectomy

In the present study, 76 specimens (T-1-T-4) from 76 randomly selected patients undergoing radical prostatectomy at Hannover University as well as in the Josef Hospital Regensburg (13 patients) between 1980 and 1992 for whom tissue sections for immunohistochemical investigation were available, were investigated for different biological and clinical characteristics as predictors for long-term and recurrence-free survival: age, depth of tumour infiltration, histological grade, lymph node status, as well as overexpression of the p53 protein (monoclonal antibody DO-I). After a median follow-up of 50 months, 6 of 18 patients (33%) with more than 20% of tumour cells stained positively for p53 died from tumour progression compared with 9 of 58 patients (16%) with less than 20% of tumour cells positive for p53. During univariate analysis, p53 overexpression (P=0.011), histological grading (P=0.009) and tumour stage (P=0.024) were significant prognostic factors for survival, among which only p53 overexpression (P=0.026) remained an independent significant predictor in multivariate analysis. Additionally, 18 of 66 patients (27%) with less than 40% positivity for p53 suffered tumour recurrence in contrast to 6 of 10 patients (60%) with more than 40% tumour cells exhibiting a positive staining reaction. In multivariate analysis, p53 overexpression was identified as the only prognostic parameter for recurrence-free survival (P=0.005). Prospective studies are needed to confirm the independent prognostic potential of p53 overexpression in patients with localised prostate cancer. The availability of more refined prognostic factors should assist decision making regarding the value of radical prostatectomy versus a surveillance strategy for prognostically defined subgroups of patients. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.