Hybrid Model For The Next Hourly Electricity Load Demand Forecasting Based on Clustering and Weather Data

被引:1
|
作者
Kartini, Unit Three [1 ]
Ardyansyah, Deddy Putra [1 ]
Yundra, Eppy [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Negeri Surabaya, Dept Elect Engn, Surabaya, Indonesia
关键词
customer baseline load; industly; PSO; hackpropagation; forecasting;
D O I
10.1109/icvee50212.2020.9243243
中图分类号
G40 [教育学];
学科分类号
040101 ; 120403 ;
摘要
This research presents about short term load demand customer-prediction model for the supply system based on clustering used to secure the electricity load an industrial customer. The customer-based load hybrid using Part Swarm Optimization Backpropagation prediction method is built on forecasting generation capacity and demands in the next 1 hours ahead. To sustain the forecast model results, the daily clustering and weather forecasts supplied by local authorities, are incorporated in our hybrid model. The model's simulation was tested by calculating the Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) value 0.01% for the electricity load demand forecasted data business rate and 0.005% for the industry rates.
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页数:4
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