Regionalising results from a detailed CGE model: Macro, industry and state effects in the US of removing major tariffs and quotas

被引：16

作者：

Dixon, Peter B. ^{[1
]}

Rimmer, Maureen T.

Tsigas, Marinos E.

机构：

[1] Monash Univ, Ctr Policy Studies, Clayton, Vic 3800, Australia

[2] US Int Trade Commiss, Washington, DC 20436 USA

来源：

PAPERS IN REGIONAL SCIENCE | 2007年 / 86卷 / 01期

关键词：

regionalising CGE; state modelling; tariffs and quotas; US trade; explaining CGE results;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1435-5957.2006.00101.x

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We describe a tops-down method for regionalising results from a detailed national CGE model. Using a 500-industry U.S. model, we generate macro and industry effects of removing major U.S. import restraints and translate these effects into employment results for U.S. states. Our results indicate that for most industries, the output change would be negligible but for sugar, butter and several textile industries output contractions would be large. The state employment changes are all between -0.5 and 0.2 percent. We explain the results by elementary mechanisms in a way that does not require prior knowledge of the underlying CGE model.

引用

页码：31 / 55

页数：25