Atmospheric circulation internal variability contribution and global climate change

被引：0

作者：

Vasil'ev, Denis Y. ^{[1
,2
]}

Semenov, Vladimir A. ^{[2
,3
]}

Vodopyanov, Vladimir V. ^{[1
]}

Kochetkova, Ekaterina S. ^{[4
]}

Velikanov, Nikita V. ^{[1
]}

Yelizariev, Alexey N. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Ufa State Aviat Tech Univ, Karl Marx Str 12, Ufa 450008, Russia

[2] RAS, AM Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Pyzhyovskiy 3, Moscow 119017, Russia

[3] RAS, Inst Geog, Staromonetniy Per 29, Moscow 119017, Russia

[4] Russian State Hydrometeorol Univ, Malookhtinsky Prospect 98, St Petersburg 195196, Russia

来源：

26TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEAN OPTICS, ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS | 2020年 / 11560卷

关键词：

surface air temperature; climatic changes; general circulation model; correlation analysis; temperature anomaly; atmospheric circulation; linear trend; Southern Urals;

D O I：

10.1117/12.2574452

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

Local climate changes differ significantly from global trends and require tailored mitigation practices. Here, we analyze the surface temperature data from the network of meteorological stations in the Southern Urals and the numerical experiments over the period from 1979 to 2012. The isolated greenhouse effect was evaluated using the global atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM5). Simulations with constant concentrations of CO2 and CH4 at the level of the 1980s describe the real values of surface temperature better than scenarios in which the concentration of greenhouse gases changed according to observations.

引用

页数：5

共 50 条

[1] The contribution of internal climate variability to climate change impacts on droughts
Gu, Lei
Chen, Jie
Xu, Chong-Yu
Kim, Jong-Suk
Chen, Hua
Xia, Jun
Zhang, Liping
[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2019, 684 : 229 - 246
[2] Relative Importance of Internal Climate Variability versus Anthropogenic Climate Change in Global Climate Change
Chen, Jie
Li, Xiangquan
Martel, Jean-Luc
Brissette, Francois P.
Zhang, Xunchang J.
Frei, Allan
[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2021, 34 (02) : 465 - 478
[3] Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections of the Hadley Circulation: The Role of Internal Variability
Kang, Sarah M.
Deser, Clara
Polvani, Lorenzo M.
[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2013, 26 (19) : 7541 - 7554
[4] Peculiarities of the dynamics of the general atmospheric circulation in conditions of the global climate change
Martynova, Yu. V.
Krupchatnikov, V. N.
[J]. IZVESTIYA ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC PHYSICS, 2015, 51 (03) : 299 - 310
[5] Peculiarities of the dynamics of the general atmospheric circulation in conditions of the global climate change
Yu. V. Martynova
V. N. Krupchatnikov
[J]. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2015, 51 : 299 - 310
[6] Assessment of extreme flows and uncertainty under climate change: disentangling the uncertainty contribution of representative concentration pathways, global climate models and internal climate variability
Gao, Chao
Booij, Martijn J.
Xu, Yue-Ping
[J]. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2020, 24 (06) : 3251 - 3269
[7] Polar Climate Change as Manifest in Atmospheric Circulation
Screen, J. A.
Bracegirdle, T. J.
Simmonds, I
[J]. CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS, 2018, 4 (04): : 383 - 395
[8] Polar Climate Change as Manifest in Atmospheric Circulation
J. A. Screen
T. J. Bracegirdle
I. Simmonds
[J]. Current Climate Change Reports, 2018, 4 : 383 - 395
[9] Chemistry of global atmospheric and climate change
Birks, JW
[J]. ABSTRACTS OF PAPERS OF THE AMERICAN CHEMICAL SOCIETY, 1996, 211 : 4 - ANYL
[10] Internal climate variability in global and regional climate models
Handorf, D
Dorn, W
Dethloff, K
Rinke, A
Weisheimer, A
[J]. CLIMATE IN HISTORICAL TIMES: TOWARDS A SYNTHESIS OF HOLOCENCE PROXY DATA AND CLIMATE MODELS, 2004, : 365 - 382

← 1 2 3 4 5 →