Real options model and application to the crude oil market

被引:0
|
作者
Hernandez del Valle, Adrian [1 ]
Martinez Garcia, Claudia Icela [1 ]
机构
[1] Inst Politecn Nacl, Secc Estudios Posgrado & Investigac, Escuela Super Econ, Mexico City 07738, DF, Mexico
来源
TRIMESTRE ECONOMICO | 2007年 / 74卷 / 294期
关键词
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We build a Conditional Real Options model VORC which allows for cashflows to be probabilistic and contingent on the average behavior of an external variable; and we apply our model to the crude oil market where the inflows on an investment project are contingent on the state of the base - the difference between the futures contract on an underlying asset and it's price for immediate delivery at present (or spot priced) -. Our main result is that the VORC, is a better criteria when evaluating projects with conditional, stochastic cashflows.
引用
收藏
页码:329 / 348
页数:20
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