Historical trends in lake and river ice cover in the Northern Hemisphere

被引:949
|
作者
Magnuson, JJ [1 ]
Robertson, DM
Benson, BJ
Wynne, RH
Livingstone, DM
Arai, T
Assel, RA
Barry, RG
Card, V
Kuusisto, E
Granin, NG
Prowse, TD
Stewart, KM
Vuglinski, VS
机构
[1] Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI 53706 USA
[2] US Geol Survey, Div Water Resources, Middleton, WI 53562 USA
[3] Virginia Polytech Inst & State Univ, Dept Forestry, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA
[4] Swiss Fed Inst Environm Sci & Technol, Dept Environm Phys, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland
[5] Rissho Univ, Dept Geog, Shinjuku Ku, Tokyo 141, Japan
[6] NOAA, Great Lakes Ecosyst Res Lab, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA
[7] Univ Colorado, World Data Ctr Glaciol, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
[8] Metropolitan State Univ, Coll Arts & Sci, St Paul, MN 55106 USA
[9] Finnish Environm Inst, FIN-00251 Helsinki, Finland
[10] Limnol Inst, Irkutsk 664033, Russia
[11] Environm Canada, Natl Water Res Inst, Saskatoon, SK S7N 3H5, Canada
[12] SUNY Buffalo, Dept Biol Sci, Buffalo, NY 14260 USA
[13] State Hydrol Inst, St Petersburg 199053, Russia
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.289.5485.1743
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Freeze and breakup dates of ice on Lakes and rivers provide consistent evidence of Later freezing and earlier breakup around the Northern Hemisphere from 1846 to 1995, Over these 150 years, changes in freeze dates averaged 5.8 days per 100 years Later, and changes in breakup dates averaged 6.5 days per 100 years earlier; these translate to increasing air temperatures of about 1.2 degrees C per 100 years. Interannual variability in both freeze and breakup dates has increased since 1950. A few Longer time series reveal reduced ice cover (a warming trend) beginning as early as the 16th century, with increasing rates of change after about 1850.
引用
收藏
页码:1743 / 1746
页数:4
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