Trade Volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three: Impacts and Determinants

被引：1

作者：

Thi Nguyet Anh Nguyen ^{[1
]}

Thi Hong Hanh Pham ^{[2
]}

Vallee, Thomas ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Econ Univ, Fac Business Management, Hanoi, Vietnam

[2] Univ Nantes, Inst Econ & Management, LEMNA, Nantes, France

来源：

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT REVIEW | 2020年 / 37卷 / 02期

关键词：

ASEAN+3; export diversification; FTA; output volatility; trade volatility;

D O I：

10.1162/adev_a_00153

中图分类号：

F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

This paper investigates trade volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three (ASEAN+3) and its links with output volatility, export diversification, and free trade agreements. To achieve this research objective, we apply several econometric estimators to data from all ASEAN+3 member states over the period 1990-2016. We first find evidence of a positive relationship between output volatility and trade volatility. Second, we reveal that the way export diversification is measured can influence its impacts on bilateral export volatility. Moreover, the relationship between income volatility, trade volatility, and export diversification seems to depend on country size and the level of economic development.

引用

页码：167 / 200

页数：34

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