Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security INTRODUCTION

被引:10
|
作者
Bindi, M. [1 ]
Palosuo, T. [2 ]
Trnka, M. [3 ,4 ]
Semenov, M. A. [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Florence, I-50144 Florence, Italy
[2] Nat Resources Inst Finland Luke, Helsinki 00790, Finland
[3] Mendel Univ Brno, Inst Agrosyst & Bioclimatol, Brno 61300, Czech Republic
[4] Global Change Res Ctr AS CR, Vvi, Brno 60300, Czech Republic
[5] Rothamsted Res, Harpenden AL5 2JQ, Herts, England
关键词
Crop production; Climate change impact and adaptation assessments; Upscaling; Model ensembles;
D O I
10.3354/cr01342
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Process-based crop models that synthesise the latest scientific understanding of biophysical processes are currently the primary scientific tools available to assess potential impacts of climate change on crop production. Important obstacles are still present, however, and must be overcome for improving crop modelling application in integrated assessments of risk, of sustainability and of crop-production resilience in the face of climate change (e.g. uncertainty analysis, model integration, etc.). The research networks MACSUR and AGMIP organised the CropM International Symposium and Workshop in Oslo, on 10-12 February 2014, and present this CR Special, discussing the state-of-the-art-as well as future perspectives-of crop modelling applications in climate change risk assessment, including the challenges of integrated assessments for the agricultural sector.
引用
收藏
页码:3 / 5
页数:3
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