Modeling the risk of malaria for travelers to areas with stable malaria transmission

被引：22
|
作者：
Massad, Eduardo [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Behrens, Ronald H. [3 ]
Burattini, Marcelo N. [1 ,2 ]
Coutinho, Francisco A. B. [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Sch Med, Dept Pathol, BR-05405000 Sao Paulo, Brazil
[2] LIM 01 HCFMUSP, BR-05405000 Sao Paulo, Brazil
[3] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, London, England
来源：
MALARIA JOURNAL | 2009年 / 8卷
基金：
巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词：
YELLOW-FEVER; DENGUE;
D O I：
10.1186/1475-2875-8-296
中图分类号：
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号：
100401 ;
摘要：
Background: Malaria is an important threat to travelers visiting endemic regions. The risk of acquiring malaria is complex and a number of factors including transmission intensity, duration of exposure, season of the year and use of chemoprophylaxis have to be taken into account estimating risk. Materials and methods: A mathematical model was developed to estimate the risk of non-immune individual acquiring falciparum malaria when traveling to the Amazon region of Brazil. The risk of malaria infection to travelers was calculated as a function of duration of exposure and season of arrival. Results: The results suggest significant variation of risk for non-immune travelers depending on arrival season, duration of the visit and transmission intensity. The calculated risk for visitors staying longer than 4 months during peak transmission was 0.5% per visit. Conclusions: Risk estimates based on mathematical modeling based on accurate data can be a valuable tool in assessing risk/benefits and cost/benefits when deciding on the value of interventions for travelers to malaria endemic regions.
引用
收藏
页数：7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Modeling the risk of malaria for travelers to areas with stable malaria transmission
    Eduardo Massad
    Ronald H Behrens
    Marcelo N Burattini
    Francisco AB Coutinho
    [J]. Malaria Journal, 8
  • [2] Antimalarial Prophylaxis in Travelers to Malaria Risk Areas
    Vlckova, Jana
    Rupes, Vaclav
    Prokes, Zdenek
    Kollarova, Helena
    Horakova, Dagmar
    [J]. EPIDEMIOLOGIE MIKROBIOLOGIE IMUNOLOGIE, 2013, 62 (01): : 33 - 39
  • [3] MALARIA RISK TO TRAVELERS
    WELLS, C
    [J]. BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL, 1973, 2 (5865): : 552 - 552
  • [4] MALARIA RISK TO TRAVELERS
    MYERS, G
    [J]. BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL, 1973, 2 (5866): : 611 - 612
  • [5] MALARIA RISK TO TRAVELERS
    MAEGRAITH, B
    [J]. BMJ-BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL, 1973, 2 (5859): : 175 - 175
  • [6] MALARIA RISK TO TRAVELERS
    不详
    [J]. BMJ-BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL, 1973, 1 (5855): : 691 - 692
  • [7] Malaria risk in travelers
    Askling, HH
    Nilsson, J
    Tegnell, A
    Janzon, R
    Ekdahl, K
    [J]. EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2005, 11 (03) : 436 - 441
  • [8] BURDEN OF MALARIA IN PREGNANCY IN AREAS OF STABLE AND UNSTABLE MALARIA TRANSMISSION IN CHHATTISGARH, INDIA
    Singh, Neeru
    Singh, Mrigendra P.
    Shukla, Manmohan M.
    Hussain, Mohassir
    Dash, Aditya P.
    Wylie, Blair J.
    Yeboah-Antwi, Kojo
    Sabin, Lora
    Udhayakumar, Venkatachalam
    Desai, Meghna
    Hamer, Davidson H.
    [J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, 2009, 81 (05): : 259 - 259
  • [9] MODELING THE RISK OF FALCIPARUM MALARIA FOR TRAVELERS TO HOLOENDEMIC REGIONS
    Massad, E.
    Burattini, M. N.
    Coutinho, F. A. B.
    [J]. BIOMAT 2008, 2009, : 211 - 222
  • [10] Predictive factors of malaria in travelers to areas where malaria is endemic
    Casalino, E
    Le Bras, J
    Chaussin, F
    Fichelle, A
    Bouvet, E
    [J]. ARCHIVES OF INTERNAL MEDICINE, 2002, 162 (14) : 1625 - 1630
12345