Forecasting a logistic service demand based on neural network

被引:1
|
作者
Zhou, Ling [1 ,3 ]
Heimann, Bernhard [1 ]
Clausen, Uwe [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Dortmund, Chair Transport & Logist, D-44227 Dortmund, Germany
[2] Fraunhofer Inst Mat Flow & Logist, D-44227 Dortmund, Germany
[3] NRW Grad Sch Prod & Logist, D-44227 Dortmund, Germany
关键词
Neural Network; Logistic service demand; forecasting;
D O I
10.1109/ICSSSM.2006.320518
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Forecasting facilitates cutting down operational and management costs while ensuring service level for a logistics service provider. Our case study here is to investigate how to forecast logistic demand for a LTL carrier. First only time series forecasting is employed as no suitable explanatory indicators can be found for the regression approach. Among the times series forecasting methods, NN is adopted considering its feasibility and applicability. The simulation results verified its advantage oyer other two conventional time series approaches. The work done in the paper helps manager to select prediction method in practice.
引用
收藏
页码:530 / 534
页数:5
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