A long-term follow-up study on the natural course of oral leukoplakia in a Swedish population-based sample

AIM: To assess the natural course of screening-detected oral leukoplakia (OL) among non-consulting individuals. METHODS: A cohort of 555 individuals with OL, confirmed in 1973-1974 during a population-based survey, were followed through January 2002 via record linkages with nationwide and essentially complete registers. A sample of 104 drawn from the 297 surviving cohort members who still were living in the area in 1993-1995 was invited to a re-examination. Sixty-seven of them attended. RESULTS: At the time of re-examination OL had disappeared in 29 (43%) individuals. There was a statistically significant association between cessation of/no smoking habits in 1993-1995 and the disappearance of OL. Never/previous daily smokers were thus over-represented among individuals whose OL had disappeared compared to those with persisting OL [n = 23 (82%) vs. n = 18 (47%), P < 0.01]. Eighteen (78%) of the twenty three non-smokers with disappearing OL had quit after the initial examination. One man and two women developed oral cancer during follow-up while 0.7 and 0.07, respectively, were expected. CONCLUSION: Smoking cessation was associated with an increased disappearance of OL. Hence, at least one-fourth had lesions that could be classified as tobacco-related. Small observed and expected numbers prohibited firm conclusions about a possible excess risk of developing oral cancer.