Epidemic spreading with awareness and different timescales in multiplex networks

被引:50
|
作者
Ventura da Silva, Paulo Cesar [1 ]
Velasquez-Rojas, Fatima [8 ]
Connaughton, Colm [3 ,4 ]
Vazquez, Federico [8 ,9 ,10 ]
Moreno, Yamir [5 ,6 ,7 ]
Rodrigues, Francisco A. [2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Fis Sao Carlos, BR-13566590 Sao Carlos, SP, Brazil
[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Ciencias Matemat & Comp, BR-13566590 Sao Carlos, SP, Brazil
[3] Univ Warwick, Math Inst, Gibbet Hill Rd, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
[4] Univ Warwick, Ctr Complex Sci, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
[5] Univ Zaragoza, Inst Biocomputat & Phys Complex Syst BIFI, Zaragoza 50018, Spain
[6] Univ Zaragoza, Dept Theoret Phys, Zaragoza 50018, Spain
[7] Inst Sci Interchange, Complex Networks & Syst Lagrange Lab, I-10126 Turin, Italy
[8] UNLP CONICET, Inst Fis Liquidos & Sistemas Biol, RA-1900 La Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina
[9] Univ Buenos Aires, Inst Calculo, FCEN, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[10] Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
基金
巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词
VACCINATION BEHAVIOR; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevE.100.032313
中图分类号
O35 [流体力学]; O53 [等离子体物理学];
学科分类号
070204 ; 080103 ; 080704 ;
摘要
One of the major issues in theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to stop a disease from spreading or to reduce its burden, as individuals aware of the presence of a disease can take measures to reduce their exposure to contagion. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for the spread of diseases with awareness in complex networks. Unlike previous models, the information is propagated following a generalized Maki-Thompson rumor model. Flexibility on the timescale between information and disease spreading is also included. We verify that the velocity characterizing the diffusion of information awareness greatly influences the disease prevalence. We also show that a reduction in the fraction of unaware individuals does not always imply a decrease of the prevalence, as the relative timescale between disease and awareness spreading plays a crucial role in the systems' dynamics. This result is shown to be independent of the network topology. We finally calculate the epidemic threshold of our model, and show that it does not depend on the relative timescale. Our results provide a new view on how information influence disease spreading and can be used for the development of more efficient methods for disease control.
引用
收藏
页数:11
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