A new method for crude oil price forecasting based on support vector machines

被引:0
|
作者
Xie, Wen [1 ]
Yu, Lean [1 ]
Xu, Shanying [1 ]
Wang, Shouyang [1 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Syst Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China
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中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a new method for crude oil price forecasting based on support vector machine (SVM). The procedure of developing a support vector machine model for time series forecasting involves data sampling, sample preprocessing, training & learning and out-of-sample forecasting. To evaluate the forecasting ability of SVM, we compare its performance with those of ARIMA and BPNN. The experiment results show that SVM outperforms the other two methods and is a fairly good candidate for the crude oil price prediction.
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收藏
页码:444 / 451
页数:8
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