Long-term prediction of chaotic systems with machine learning

被引:103
|
作者
Fan, Huawei [1 ,2 ]
Jiang, Junjie [1 ]
Zhang, Chun [1 ,2 ]
Wang, Xingang [2 ]
Lai, Ying-Cheng [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Arizona State Univ, Sch Elect Comp & Energy Engn, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
[2] Shaanxi Normal Univ, Sch Phys & Informat Technol, Xian 710062, Peoples R China
[3] Arizona State Univ, Dept Phys, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
来源
PHYSICAL REVIEW RESEARCH | 2020年 / 2卷 / 01期
关键词
ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER; TIME-SERIES; MODEL;
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.012080
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
Reservoir computing systems, a class of recurrent neural networks, have recently been exploited for modelfree, data-based prediction of the state evolution of a variety of chaotic dynamical systems. The prediction horizon demonstrated has been about half dozen Lyapunov time. Is it possible to significantly extend the prediction time beyond what has been achieved so far? We articulate a scheme incorporating time-dependent but sparse data inputs into reservoir computing and demonstrate that such rare "updates" of the actual state practically enable an arbitrarily long prediction horizon for a variety of chaotic systems. A physical understanding based on the theory of temporal synchronization is developed.
引用
收藏
页数:6
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