A Protocol for the Elicitation of Imprecise Probabilities

被引：0
|
作者：
Silva, Alane Alves [1 ]
Campello de Souza, Fernando Menezes [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Fed Pernambuco, Dept Prod Engn, Recife, PE, Brazil
来源：
ISIPTA 05-PROCEEDINGS OF THE FOURTH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS | 2005年
关键词：
Elicitation; Imprecise Probabilities; Inferential Skill; Convex set; Imprecise Dirichlet Models;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号：
081202 ;
摘要：
A protocol for the elicitation of imprecise probabilities based on linear programming is applied to the case of two continuous variables. Two medical experts were elicited. The resulting convex set of probability distributions was compared with the results obtained by the application of an imprecise Dirichlet model to a database. An indicator is introduced to assess the inferential skill of the medical experts.
引用
收藏
页码：315 / 321
页数：7
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