Equity premium puzzle or faulty economic modelling?

被引:5
|
作者
Shirvani, Abootaleb [1 ]
Stoyanov, Stoyan V. [2 ]
Fabozzi, Frank J. [3 ]
Rachev, Svetlozar T. [1 ]
机构
[1] Texas Tech Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA
[2] Charles Schwab Corp, 101 Montgomery St, San Francisco, CA USA
[3] EDHEC Business Sch, Nice, France
关键词
Rational finance; Equity premium puzzle; Normal compound inverse Gaussian distribution; RELATIVE RISK-AVERSION; HABIT FORMATION; RESOLUTION; AMBIGUITY; CONSTANT; RETURNS;
D O I
10.1007/s11156-020-00928-3
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
In this paper we revisit the equity premium puzzle reported in 1985 by Mehra and Prescott. We show that the large equity premium that they report can be explained by choosing a more appropriate distribution for the return data. We demonstrate that the high-risk aversion value observed by Mehra and Prescott may be attributable to the problem of fitting a proper distribution to the historical returns and partly caused by poorly fitting the tail of the return distribution. We describe a new distribution that better fits the return distribution and when used to describe historical returns can explain the large equity risk premium and thereby explains the puzzle.
引用
收藏
页码:1329 / 1342
页数:14
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