Can regional climate engineering save the summer Arctic sea ice?

被引:36
|
作者
Tilmes, S. [1 ]
Jahn, Alexandra [1 ]
Kay, Jennifer E. [1 ]
Holland, Marika [1 ]
Lamarque, Jean-Francois [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
regional climate engineering; geoengineering; Arctic dimming; Arctic sea ice; ALBEDO FEEDBACK; SENSITIVITY; PERMAFROST;
D O I
10.1002/2013GL058731
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Rapid declines in summer Arctic sea ice extent are projected under high-forcing future climate scenarios. Regional Arctic climate engineering has been suggested as an emergency strategy to save the sea ice. Model simulations of idealized regional dimming experiments compared to a business-as-usual greenhouse gas emission simulation demonstrate the importance of both local and remote feedback mechanisms to the surface energy budget in high latitudes. With increasing artificial reduction in incoming shortwave radiation, the positive surface albedo feedback from Arctic sea ice loss is reduced. However, changes in Arctic clouds and the strongly increasing northward heat transport both counteract the direct dimming effects. A 4 times stronger local reduction in solar radiation compared to a global experiment is required to preserve summer Arctic sea ice area. Even with regional Arctic dimming, a reduction in the strength of the oceanic meridional overturning circulation and a shut down of Labrador Sea deep convection are possible.
引用
收藏
页码:880 / 885
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] A Spring Barrier for Regional Predictions of Summer Arctic Sea Ice
    Bonan, D. B.
    Bushuk, M.
    Winton, M.
    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (11) : 5937 - 5947
  • [2] A chance to save Arctic sea ice
    不详
    NATURE, 2018, 556 (7700) : 152 - 152
  • [3] Arctic Summer Sea Ice Melt and Related Atmospheric Conditions in Coupled Regional Climate Model Simulations and Observations
    Rinke, A.
    Knudsen, Erlend M.
    Mewes, D.
    Dorn, W.
    Handorf, D.
    Dethloff, K.
    Moore, J. C.
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (12) : 6027 - 6039
  • [4] Atmospheric feedbacks on Arctic summer sea-ice anomalies in ensemble simulations of a coupled regional climate model
    Annette RINKE
    D?rthe HANDORF
    Wolfgang DORN
    Klaus DETHLOFF
    John C.MOORE
    Xiangdong ZHANG
    Advances in Polar Science, 2018, 29 (03) : 156 - 164
  • [5] Linkages between Arctic summer circulation regimes and regional sea ice anomalies
    Lynch, Amanda H.
    Serreze, Mark C.
    Cassano, Elizabeth N.
    Crawford, Alex D.
    Stroeve, Julienne
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2016, 121 (13) : 7868 - 7880
  • [6] Regional Arctic sea ice variations as predictor for winter climate conditions
    Torben Koenigk
    Mihaela Caian
    Grigory Nikulin
    Semjon Schimanke
    Climate Dynamics, 2016, 46 : 317 - 337
  • [7] Regional Arctic sea ice variations as predictor for winter climate conditions
    Koenigk, Torben
    Caian, Mihaela
    Nikulin, Grigory
    Schimanke, Semjon
    CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2016, 46 (1-2) : 317 - 337
  • [8] Changing Seasonal Predictability of Arctic Summer Sea Ice Area in a Warming Climate
    Holland, Marika M.
    Landrum, Laura
    Bailey, David
    Vavrus, Steve
    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (16) : 4963 - 4979
  • [9] Changing seasonal predictability of Arctic summer sea ice area in a warming climate
    Holland, Marika M.
    Landrum, Laura
    Bailey, David
    Vavrus, Steve
    Journal of Climate, 2019, 32 (03) : 4963 - 4979
  • [10] Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice
    Tietsche, S.
    Notz, D.
    Jungclaus, J. H.
    Marotzke, J.
    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2011, 38