Memory Constraints on Hypothesis Generation and Decision Making

被引：27

作者：

Thomas, Rick ^{[1
]}

Dougherty, Michael R. ^{[2
]}

Buttaccio, Daniel R. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Oklahoma, Norman, OK 73019 USA

[2] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD USA

来源：

CURRENT DIRECTIONS IN PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE | 2014年 / 23卷 / 04期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

hypothesis generation; hypothesis testing; probability judgment; working memory; medical diagnosis; WORKING-MEMORY; PROBABILITY JUDGMENT; SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY; INFORMATION; CONFIRMATION; CAPACITY; DYNAMICS; TASK; BIAS;

D O I：

10.1177/0963721414534853

中图分类号：

B84 [心理学];

学科分类号：

04 ; 0402 ;

摘要：

Hypothesis generation is the process people use to generate explanations for patterns of data, which is an act vital to everyday problem solving. It is the basis for decision making in many professions, such as medicine, intelligence and reconnaissance analysis, auditing, and fault detection in nuclear power plants. Even laypeople's impressions of acquaintances' personalities based on behavioral patterns can be considered a case of hypothesis generation. This article provides an overview of research elucidating the cognitive processes that underlie hypothesis generation and decision making.

引用

页码：264 / 270

页数：7

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