Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth

被引：46
|
作者：
Nordhaus, William D. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Yale Univ, Cowles Fdn, Yale Stn, POB 208268, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
来源：
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS | 2021年 / 13卷 / 01期
关键词：
UNBALANCED GROWTH; SUBSTITUTION; ANATOMY; DECLINE; LONG;
D O I：
10.1257/mac.20170105
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
What are the prospects for long-run economic growth? One prominent line of economic thinking is the trend toward stagnation. Stagnationism has a long history in economics, beginning prominently with Malthus and occasionally surfacing in different guises. Prominent themes here are the following: Will economic growth slow and perhaps even reverse under the weight of resource depletion? Will overpopulation and diminishing returns lower living standards? Will unchecked CO2 emissions lead to catastrophic changes in climate and human systems? Have we depleted the store of potential great inventions? Will the aging society lead to diminished innovativeness?
引用
收藏
页码：299 / 332
页数：34
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