Generation Expansion Planning Based on Dynamic Bayesian Network Considering the Uncertainty of Renewable Energy Resources

被引:5
|
作者
Kong, Xiangyu [1 ]
Yao, Jingtao [1 ]
E, Zhijun [2 ]
Wang, Xin [2 ]
机构
[1] Tianjin Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Smart Grid, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[2] State Grid Tianjin Elect Power Co, Tianjin 300010, Peoples R China
关键词
generation expansion planning; sustainable development; Dynamic Bayesian Network; decision model; POWER-GENERATION; DISTRIBUTED GENERATION; ROBUST OPTIMIZATION; INTEGRATION; CARBON; MODEL;
D O I
10.3390/en12132492
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
In generation expansion planning, sustainable generation expansion planning is gaining more and more attention. Based on the comprehensive consideration of generation expansion planning economics, technology, environment, and other fields, this paper analyzes the sustainable development of power supply planning evaluation indicators and builds a multi-objective generation expansion planning decision model considering sustainable development. According to the target variables in the model, the variables such as attribute variables are divided into different subsets, and the logical relationship analysis method between different nodes is obtained based on Dynamic Bayesian network theory, which reduces the complexity of the planning model problem. The application examples show the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed model and the solution method.
引用
收藏
页数:20
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