Risk premia in electricity forward prices

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作者
Diko, Pavel
Lawford, Steve
Limpens, Valerie
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F [经济];
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02 ;
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We investigate the presence of significant electricity forward risk premia, using data from three major continental European energy markets - German, Dutch and French. We introduce the risk premium in the framework of a standard electricity spot/forward unobserved factor model, and derive the implied forward price behaviour. We then assess the term-structure and time-evolution of the risk premia for each of the markets.
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页数:23
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