Pre-emption cases may support, not undermine, the counterfactual theory of causation

被引:2
|
作者
Northcott, Robert [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ London, Dept Philosophy, Birkbeck Coll, Malet St, London WC1E 7HX, England
关键词
Causation; Counterfactuals; Pre-emption; Experiments; Psychology; Error theory;
D O I
10.1007/s11229-018-02038-z
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
Pre-emption cases have been taken by almost everyone to imply the unviability of the simple counterfactual theory of causation. Yet there is ample motivation from scientific practice to endorse a simple version of the theory if we can. There is a way in which a simple counterfactual theory, at least if understood contrastively, can be supported even while acknowledging that intuition goes firmly against it in pre-emption cases-or rather, only in some of those cases. For I present several new pre-emption cases in which causal intuition does not go against the counterfactual theory, a fact that has been verified experimentally. I suggest an account of framing effects that can square the circle. Crucially, this account offers hope of theoretical salvation-but only to the counterfactual theory of causation, not to others. Again, there is (admittedly only preliminary) experimental support for this account.
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页码:537 / 555
页数:19
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