Short-term wind speed prediction at Bogdanci power plant in FYROM using an artificial neural network

被引:8
|
作者
Jha, Sunil Kr. [1 ,2 ]
Bilalovikj, Jasmin [3 ]
机构
[1] Ton Duc Thang Univ, Dept Management Sci & Technol Dev, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[2] Ton Duc Thang Univ, Fac Sci Appl, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[3] Univ Informat Sci & Technol St Paul Apostle, Fac Comp Sci & Engn, Ohrid, North Macedonia
关键词
Renewable energy; artificial neural networks; wind speed prediction; wind energy; CORAL-REEFS OPTIMIZATION; RENEWABLE ENERGY; DECOMPOSITION; ALGORITHM; MODELS; BANKS;
D O I
10.1080/14786451.2018.1516668
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The present study targets short-term wind speed prediction of the wind turbine station at Bogdanci in the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM), using artificial neural network (ANN) method. Wind directions and meteorological parameters (temperature, pressure, and humidity) measured at the interval of 10 min in between May 2015 and September 2015 have been used as the input of ANN to predict four kinds of wind speed (rotation mean, hub mean, tip low mean, and base mean). The best performance (R-2 = 0.84 - 0.86) of ANN method was achieved using wind direction base mean (WDBM) in September 2015, and using temperature (R-2 = 0.77 - 0.80) in May 2015. Reasonable performance of ANN method was achieved in the rest of the month.
引用
收藏
页码:526 / 541
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Based on Artificial Neural Network Models
    Kirbas, Ismail
    Kerem, Alper
    [J]. MEASUREMENT & CONTROL, 2016, 49 (06): : 183 - 190
  • [2] Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Using Several Artificial Neural Network Approaches in Eskisehir
    Duran, Mert Alper
    Filik, Ummuhan Basaran
    [J]. 2015 INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON INNOVATIONS IN INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS AND APPLICATIONS (INISTA) PROCEEDINGS, 2015, : 169 - 172
  • [3] Very Short-term Wind Speed Prediction of a Wind Farm Based on Artificial Neural Network
    Ma, Rui
    Hu, Shuju
    Xu, Honghua
    [J]. PROGRESS IN RENEWABLE AND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, PTS 1 AND 2, 2013, 608-609 : 677 - 682
  • [4] Short - Term Wind Power Plant Predicting With Artificial Neural Network
    Kumar, A. Senthil
    Cermak, Tomas
    Misak, Stanislav
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2015 16TH INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE ON ELECTRIC POWER ENGINEERING (EPE), 2015, : 584 - 588
  • [5] Short Term Wind Speed Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks
    Lodge, Alexandra
    Yu, Xiao-Hua
    [J]. 2014 4TH IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY (ICIST), 2014, : 539 - 542
  • [6] Short-Term Active Power Forecasting of a Photovoltaic Power Plant using an Artificial Neural Network
    Romero, Andres F.
    Quilumba, Franklin L.
    Arcos, Hugo N.
    [J]. 2017 IEEE SECOND ECUADOR TECHNICAL CHAPTERS MEETING (ETCM), 2017,
  • [7] Short-Term Load Forecasting for a Captive Power Plant Using Artificial Neural Network
    Tiwari, Vidhi
    Pal, Kirti
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION RETRIEVAL RESEARCH, 2022, 12 (01)
  • [8] Short-term Prediction Models for Wind Speed and Wind Power
    Bai, Guangxing
    Ding, Yanwu
    Yildirim, Mehmet Bayram
    Ding, Yan-Hong
    [J]. 2014 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS AND INFORMATICS (ICSAI), 2014, : 180 - 185
  • [9] Artificial neural network models for wind power short-term forecasting using weather predictions
    Ramírez-Rosado, IJ
    Fernández-Jiménez, LA
    Monteiro, C
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 25TH IASTED INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODELLING, IDENTIFICATION, AND CONTROL, 2006, : 128 - +
  • [10] An artificial neural network approach for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal
    Catalao, J. P. S.
    Pousinho, H. M. I.
    Mendes, V. M. F.
    [J]. ENGINEERING INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS FOR ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING AND COMMUNICATIONS, 2009, 17 (01): : 5 - 11