Statistical reconstruction of temperature and wind profiles as applied to the problem of numerical forecasting of atmospheric pollution processes over limited areas.
modified method of clustering of the arguments;
short-range forecast;
average temperature;
wind vector components;
D O I:
10.1117/12.370540
中图分类号:
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号:
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要:
The results of the statistical evaluation of quality and efficiency of the modified method of clustering of the arguments (MMCA) are discussed for applications in numerical forecast (for a period of 12-48 hours) of the averaged over layers temperature profiles and profiles of the zonal and meridional mean wind components. This procedure is aimed at providing a meteorological support in the problem of forecasting atmospheric pollution processes. The statistical evaluation of the quality of this method carried out using the data of long-term observations at two aerological stations: Brest and Novosibirsk has shown the algorithm MMCA to be efficient enough for the preliminary calculations of the average temperature for a period up to 48 hours, and for mean wind components -up to 24 hours.