THE MECHANISM RESEARCH ON THE HARMONIOUS DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL PORT AND ECONOMY BASED ON SYSTEM DYNAMICS - THE CASE OF FUJIAN PROVINCE

Port is not only a traffic hinge which connects the land with the sea, but also is the best combination of factors of production. Therefore, the port occupies a strategic position of great importance in the regional economic development. However, is the construction and development of the port itself matched well or in harmony with regional economic development? What kind of interaction between them? This pending issue needs further research and discussion. Firstly this paper uses gray correlation analysis method to calculate the link between port cargo throughputs with the industrial development. And then with the use of the input-output table, analyzes the backward and forward relations between the regional industries and the mainly cargo throughputs. After that sets up the Port-Regional economy System Dynamics (SD) model to reflect the dynamic relations between the port and regional economy. Finally the paper finds out the balance of the development between the port' and the regional economy, and evaluates the developing state of the port. This model has been simulated and verified by taking the Fujian relevant data.