A brief history of R0 and a recipe for its calculation

被引:297
|
作者
Heesterbeek, JAP [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Utrecht, Fac Vet Med, Quantitat Vet Epidemiol Grp, Yalelaan 7, NL-3584 CL Utrecht, Netherlands
关键词
D O I
10.1023/A:1016599411804
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In this paper I present the genesis of R-0 in demography, ecology and epidemiology, from embryo to its current adult form. I argue on why it has taken so long for the concept to mature in epidemiology when there were ample opportunities for cross-fertilisation from demography and ecology from where it reached adulthood fifty years earlier. Today, R-0 is a more fully developed adult in epidemiology than in demography. In the final section I give an algorithm for its calculation in heterogeneous populations.
引用
收藏
页码:189 / 204
页数:16
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