Evolutionary mechanism and information supervision of public opinions in internet emergency

被引：17

作者：

Liu, Dehai ^{[1
,2
]}

Wang, Weiguo ^{[1
,2
]}

Li, Hongyi ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Dongbei Univ Finance & Econ, Ctr Econometr Anal & Forecasting, Dalian 116025, Peoples R China

[2] Dongbei Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Math & Quantitat Econ, Dalian 116025, Peoples R China

[3] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Decis Sci & Managerial Econ, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

来源：

FIRST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND QUANTITATIVE MANAGEMENT | 2013年 / 17卷

关键词：

Public opinions; Internet emergency; Evolutionary game; Information supervision; Evolutionary mechanism;

D O I：

10.1016/j.procs.2013.05.124

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

This paper studies evolutionary mechanism and information supervision of public opinions in Internet emergency. The netizen behaviors are characterized by observation, imitation and learning, which well fits the hypothesis of bounded rationality in evolutionary games. In this paper, we define the "netizen acceptance degree" in cases of some social hot topics as the pay off in factor games, and build the evolutionary equation of public opinions, which is the infectious diseases diffusion model with changing population size. Alter that, we apply the theoretical model to the evolutionary course of pubic opinions in a real Internet emergency case, i.e., the "10.24 Self-sacrifice Event" in China. The effects of Internet information supervision and control measures for social affairs on the evolutionary course of public opinions are discussed based on results of numerical simulation. (C) 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

引用

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页码：973 / 980

页数：8

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