Quantitative research on component failure by using Monte-Carlo method

The thermal effect is one of the main effects of directed energy interaction with materials. Currently, research on thermal effects between directed energy and materials have been extensively developed. However the system level thermal effect and thermal failure evaluation is relatively less, especially the system level thermal failure evaluation lacks of effective analysis method. In this paper, the method of reliability analysis based on fuzzy inference and Monte-Carlo method is proposed to quantitatively evaluate the thermal failure process of the system. Based on the above method, simulation verification is performed. The component model is established and the boundary conditions of the directed energy are applied. Through the simulation, the thermal failure quantitative evaluation results of the system are obtained. The thermal failure rules of the system are studied and the results can be used for system level radiation effect research.