Comment on "Stock markets and business cycle comovement in Germany before world war I: Evidence from spectral analysis"

被引:4
|
作者
Metz, Rainer [1 ]
机构
[1] Cent Arch Empir Social Res, GESIS ZA, D-50931 Cologne, Germany
关键词
Business cycles; Time series analysis; HODRICK-PRESCOTT FILTER; ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.jmacro.2008.01.004
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This comment is focused mainly on the assumption that the HP filter is appropriate for isolating the cyclical component inherent in the time series investigated. It is argued that mechanical filtering can easily generate a spurious impression of cyclical behaviour. Estimating the cyclical component also requires analysis of the trend characteristics of the time series under investigation as well as the existence of irregularities in the data generating process. Different business cycle estimation methods are used to judge the robustness of the results for the NNP income series and the stock market index. (C) 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
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页码:58 / 67
页数:10
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