The spatio-temporal dynamics of ethanol/gasoline price ratio in Brazil

被引：17
|
作者：
Laurini, Marcio Poletti [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, FEA RP, Av Bandeirantes 3900, BR-14040905 Ribeirao Preto, SP, Brazil
来源：
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS | 2017年 / 70卷
基金：
巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词：
Spatio-temporal model; Ethanol/gasoline price ratio; Spatial random effects; Co-integration; MARKOV RANDOM-FIELDS; RENEWABLE ENERGY; ETHANOL PRICES; GASOLINE; BIOFUELS; DEMAND; SUGAR;
D O I：
10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.195
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
We use an innovative method to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution of the ethanol/gasoline price ratio to end consumers in Brazil. This model allows estimating the distribution of prices throughout the country using a continuous space model estimated by Bayesian methods. We use data from the National Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels Agency's price survey system, a weekly sample of 10% of fuel suppliers in Brazil, to estimate continuous projections of the price ratio for the entire country for the 2007-2014 period. We use this model to build an indicator of ethanol advantage in the country and show how this advantage has declined since 2009.
引用
收藏
页码：1 / 12
页数：12
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