Can maritime big data be applied to shipping industry analysis? Focussing on commodities and vessel sizes of dry bulk carriers
被引:11
|
作者:
Kanamoto, Kei
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机构:
Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan
Kanamoto, Kei
[1
]
Murong, Liwen
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机构:
Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan
Murong, Liwen
[1
]
Nakashima, Minato
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Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan
Nakashima, Minato
[1
]
Shibasaki, Ryuichi
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Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Technol Management Innovat, Resilience Engn Res Ctr, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan
Shibasaki, Ryuichi
[2
]
机构:
[1] Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Syst Innovat, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan
[2] Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Dept Technol Management Innovat, Resilience Engn Res Ctr, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1138656, Japan
AIS;
Dry bulk;
Port-based global cargo flow;
Iron ore;
Coal;
Grains;
Vessel size;
AXS dry;
Vessel movement;
D O I:
10.1057/s41278-020-00171-6
中图分类号:
U [交通运输];
学科分类号:
08 ;
0823 ;
摘要:
Enriched navigational information provided by an automatic identification system (AIS) could improve the estimation accuracy of trade patterns analysis by using different data sources. This paper estimates the global trade flow pattern of dry bulk cargo by commodity, namely iron ore, coal, grains, fertilisers, and iron and steel. We use AIS data and the information on commodities handled in ports, estimated by using a two-tiered Geohash geocoding. Estimation results are accurate at country level except for iron and steel. The results are used to quantify the impact of the previously identified variables on vessel size selection by regression analysis and a multinomial logit model. Finally, our model is used to forecast the future shipping demand by vessel type and commodity.