Grey double exponential smoothing model and its application on pig price forecasting in China

被引：73
|
作者：
Wu, Lifeng [1 ,2 ]
Liu, Sifeng [2 ,3 ]
Yang, Yingjie [3 ]
机构：
[1] Hebei Univ Engn, Sch Econ & Management, Handan 056038, Peoples R China
[2] Nanjing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut, Coll Econ & Management, Nanjing 210016, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[3] De Montfort Univ, Ctr Computat Intelligence, Leicester LE1 9BH, Leics, England
来源：
APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING | 2016年 / 39卷
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
Forecasting; Double exponential smoothing model; Accumulating generation operator; TIME-SERIES; PREDICTION; ALGORITHM;
D O I：
10.1016/j.asoc.2015.09.054
中图分类号：
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号：
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要：
To resolve the conflict between our desire for a good smoothing effect and desire to give additional weight to the recent change, a grey accumulating generation operator that can smooth the random interference of data is introduced into the double exponential smoothing method. The results of practical numerical examples have demonstrated that the proposed grey double exponential smoothing method outperforms the traditional double exponential smoothing method in forecasting problems. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：117 / 123
页数：7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] The grey generalized Verhulst model and its application for forecasting Chinese pig price index
    Weijie Zhou
    Lingling Pei
    [J]. Soft Computing, 2020, 24 : 4977 - 4990
  • [2] The grey generalized Verhulst model and its application for forecasting Chinese pig price index
    Zhou, Weijie
    Pei, Lingling
    [J]. SOFT COMPUTING, 2020, 24 (07) : 4977 - 4990
  • [3] Forecasting by fuzzy double exponential smoothing model
    Tsaur, RC
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COMPUTER MATHEMATICS, 2003, 80 (11) : 1351 - 1361
  • [4] A Novel Exponential Time Delayed Fractional Grey Model and Its Application in Forecasting Oil Production and Consumption of China
    Wang, Yong
    Zhang, Lei
    He, Xinbo
    Ma, Xin
    Wu, Wenqing
    Nie, Rui
    Chi, Pei
    Zhang, Yuyang
    [J]. CYBERNETICS AND SYSTEMS, 2023, 54 (02) : 168 - 196
  • [5] A whale optimization algorithm-based multivariate exponential smoothing grey-holt model for electricity price forecasting
    Sapnken, Flavian Emmanuel
    Tazehkandgheshlagh, Ali Khalili
    Diboma, Benjamin Salomon
    Hamaidi, Mohammed
    Noumo, Prosper Gopdjim
    Wang, Yong
    Tamba, Jean Gaston
    [J]. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2024, 255
  • [6] A novel grey model of impulse delay and its application in forecasting stock price
    Duan, Huiming
    Huang, Jiangbo
    Wang, Siqi
    He, Chenglin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT & FUZZY SYSTEMS, 2021, 41 (02) : 3395 - 3413
  • [7] A nonlinear grey forecasting model with double shape parameters and its application
    Liu, Xiaomei
    Xie, Naiming
    [J]. APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTATION, 2019, 360 : 203 - 212
  • [8] Nodal Electricity Price Forecasting using Exponential Smoothing and Holt’s Exponential Smoothing
    Ahmed, Md Irfan
    Kumar, Ramesh
    [J]. Distributed Generation and Alternative Energy Journal, 2023, 38 (05): : 1505 - 1530
  • [9] Improved exponential smoothing grey-holt models for electricity price forecasting using whale optimization
    Dibomaa, Benjamin Salomon
    Sapnkena, Flavian Emmanuel
    Hamaidi, Mohammed
    Wang, Yong
    Noumo, Prosper Gopdjim
    Tamba, Jean Gaston
    [J]. METHODSX, 2024, 13
  • [10] SEASONAL FORECASTING OF A DECOMPOSED FUZZY EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING MODEL USING GREY ESTIMATED VALUES
    Tsaur, Ruey-Chyn
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE CHINESE INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERS, 2009, 32 (01) : 17 - 31
12345