Peculiar statistical properties of Chinese stock indices in bull and bear market phases

被引:15
|
作者
Zhou, W. C.
Xu, H. C.
Cai, Z. Y.
Wei, J. R.
Zhu, X. Y.
Wang, W.
Zhao, L.
Huang, J. P. [1 ]
机构
[1] Fudan Univ, Dept Phys, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
关键词
Chinese stock market; Bull and bear markets; Price's log-return; FLUCTUATIONS;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2008.11.028
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
Chinese stock markets have experienced an extraordinary bull market since Jan 2006, which attracted global eyes. We investigate the statistical properties of the indices' log-return r(t) for the bull market (Jan 2006-Oct 2007) and the previous bear market (Jan 2001-Dec 2005). Here we report three peculiar features of r(t): (i) the cumulative distribution function curve of r(t) in the bull market is similar to that in the bear market; (ii) the autocorrelation function of r(t) in the bull market has a stronger negative correlation and a shorter correlation time than that in the bear market; (iii) the bull market shows stronger long-term correlation than the bear market. This work has relevance to understanding novel statistical properties in economic systems. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:891 / 899
页数:9
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