Aggregate flow model for air-traffic management

Traditionally, models used in air-traffic control and flow management are based on simulating the trajectories of individual aircraft. This approach results in models with a large number of states, which are intrinsically susceptible to errors and difficult for designing and implementing optimal strategies for traffic flow management. This paper outlines an innovative approach for the development of linear-time-variant dynamic traffic flow system models based on historical data about the behavior of air traffic. The resulting low-order, linear, robust models can be used both for the analysis and synthesis of traffic flow management techniques for current and future systems.