Model combination in neural-based forecasting

This paper discusses different ways of combining neural predictive models or neural-based forecasts. The proposed approaches consider Gaussian radial basis function networks, which can be efficiently identified and estimated through recursive/adaptive methods. The usual framework for linearly combining estimates from different models is extended, to cope with the case where the forecasting errors from those models are correlated. A prefiltering methodology is proposed, addressing the problems raised by heavily nonstationary time series. Moreover, the paper discusses two approaches for decision-making from forecasting models: either inferring decisions from combined predictive estimates, or combining prescriptive solutions derived from different forecasting models. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.