[1] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Earth Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia
[2] Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[3] Australian res Council, Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia
[4] Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA
[5] Univ New South Wales, Sch Math & Stat, Sydney, NSW, Australia