Landscape futures: decision-making in uncertain times, a literature review

被引:9
|
作者
Bartolini, Nadia [1 ]
DeSilvey, Caitlin [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Exeter, Environm & Sustainabil Inst, Penryn, England
关键词
Futures; environmental change; decision-making; uncertainty; temporality; tipping points; OF-THE-ART; CLIMATE-CHANGE; TIPPING POINTS; ADAPTATION; SCIENCE; CONSERVATION; HERITAGE; GEOGRAPHIES; CHALLENGES; TRANSFORMATION;
D O I
10.1080/01426397.2020.1861228
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This review considers how rapid environmental change, generated through both inhuman natural forces and human-induced impacts, affects landscape futures and decision-making processes. To do this, we start by defining 'futures', and, more specifically, the different kinds of futures at stake in changing landscapes. We discuss how rapid environmental change not only puts immediate pressure on identifying alternative futures for landscapes, but also threatens to unsettle patterns of attachment to the landscape. We then explore different ways of managing tensions and consider strategies that have been used for breaking down binary divisions that may stymie informed and integrated decision-making. We conclude by adapting a five-point framework that incorporates uncertainty and environmental change when making decisions about landscape futures.
引用
收藏
页码:8 / 24
页数:17
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