The evolution of sales forecasting management: A 20-year longitudinal study of forecasting practices

被引:85
|
作者
McCarthy, Teresa M.
Davis, Donna F.
Golicic, Susan L.
Mentzer, John T.
机构
[1] Lehigh Univ, Coll Business & Econ, Bethlehem, PA 18015 USA
[2] Texas Tech Univ, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA
[3] Univ Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
[4] Univ Tennessee, Knoxville, TN USA
关键词
forecasting techniques; forecasting management; accuracy; satisfaction; familiarity;
D O I
10.1002/for.989
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper presents results of a survey designed to discover how sales forecasting management practices have changed over the past 20 years as compared to findings reported by Mentzer and Cox (1984) and Mentzer and Kahn (1995). An up-to-date overview of empirical studies on forecasting practice is also presented. A web-based survey of forecasting executives was employed to explore trends in forecasting management, familiarity, satisfaction, usage, and accuracy among companies in a variety of industries. Results revealed decreased familiarity with forecasting techniques, and decreased levels of forecast accuracy. Implications for managers and suggestions for future research are presented. Copyright (c) 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:303 / 324
页数:22
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